PickAlpha Evening Insights | 2025-11-28 - Three Trades For The Next Trading Day
•Stocks mixed as rates reacted to data cancellations and a major futures outage disrupted markets.•Airbus software rollback across A320 fleet; Adobe reports strong Black Friday sale •Three Trade Ideas
Market Wrap
Market Recap — A prolonged Globex outage and revised government data schedule set the tone for the session, while oil supply and holiday retail metrics added texture. CME said trading resumed around 08:20 ET after roughly 10.5 hours offline, temporarily curtailing price discovery and hedging. U.S. statistical agencies cancelled and consolidated several October reports, increasing macro uncertainty and pressuring rate-sensitive assets. EIA showed U.S. crude output hit a record near 13.84 mb/d in September, and into the evening Airbus ordered a widespread A320 software rollback as Adobe flagged robust Black Friday online sales.
Intraday — From market open through 16:00 ET the biggest moves tied to infrastructure and data: CME’s Globex outage began overnight and trading restarted about 08:20 ET, creating wider spreads and basis moves in futures markets; at 10:36 ET agencies announced cancellation and bundling of key October reports, which fed uncertainty in rates and the dollar; EIA’s September output print around 13:52 ET showed U.S. crude production at a record ~13.84 mb/d, weighing on energy sentiment.
After Hours — Between 16:00 and 20:00 ET Airbus told operators at about 18:32 ET to perform an immediate ELAC software rollback on roughly 6,000 A320-family jets, forcing maintenance actions and potential capacity impacts; at about 18:49 ET Adobe reported roughly $8.6 billion in U.S. Black Friday online sales through 6:30 p.m. ET, up about 9.4% year-over-year and signaling resilient holiday demand.
Three Trades For The Next Trading Day
1/2 Short $EADSY — On Monday Dec 1, 2025, between 9:35 and 10:00 ET, if EADSY is trading between 3% below and 3% above Friday’s close, enter a short position. Target a 5% downside from entry or exit by Tuesday close, with a 3% stop-loss above the entry price, whichever occurs…
Airbus ordered immediate software rollback on roughly 6,000 A320-family jets, requiring completion before aircraft can fly, except for repositioning. This affects over half the global A320 fleet, implying short-term operational disruption and potential regulatory and reputational scrutiny. Near-term headline and cost risk should pressure Airbus shares over the next session before operational normalisation is clearer.
Trade credibility: actionability 7.0 | timeliness 8.0 | clarity 8.0
2/2 Long $AMZN — On Monday Dec 1, 2025, between 9:35 and 10:00 ET, if AMZN is trading between 2% below and 2% above Friday’s close, enter a long position. Target a 4% gain from entry or exit by Tuesday close, with a 3% stop-loss below the entry price, whichever occurs…
Adobe Analytics reported about $8.6 billion in U.S. Black Friday online sales by 6:30 p.m. ET, up roughly 9.4% year-on-year, and projects a record $11.7–$11.9 billion final tally. This signals resilient U.S. holiday e-commerce demand despite macro headwinds, which should support Amazon as a dominant online retail platform in the next trading session.
Trade credibility: actionability 7.0 | timeliness 8.0 | clarity 8.0