Archive - PickAlpha

Introducing the New PickAlpha: Systematic AI & Semiconductor Investment Research

20 carefully selected and tested signals. A proprietary Regime Map. Continuous market monitoring and expert-led research.

Oct 11 • PickAlpha

The story didn’t change this week. The crowd did

Introducing the PickAlpha Monitor: 20 public signals, two axes, one question about every AI-chip selloff.

Oct 7 • PickAlpha

September 2026

Morning Report | 10Y near 5.14% on hot PMIs, hawkish Fed talk - duration rout, equities tested

$TLT dumps, 10Y 5.14% test $QQQ slips, AI governance headlines $MSFT in focus, OpenAI access incident $SPY steadies, China truce to Jan. 10 $TLT hit…

Sep 24 • PickAlpha

Morning Report | Trump–Xi summit nears, AI-chip controls keep megacap tech hypersensitive

$NVDA AI-chip controls risk bid $TAN Section 232 enforcement jitters $VLO Diesel export-ban chatter hits $CNC CMS enrollment purge uncertainty $NVDA…

Sep 23 • PickAlpha

Morning Report | Texas data-center permit squeeze, AMD $1T pop redraws AI winners

$AMD $1T tag, new chips $DLR Texas permitting squeeze, data-center bids $JETS Jet fuel spike, FAA feed outages $TLT Yields slip, Fed speakers watched…

Sep 22 • PickAlpha

Morning Report | Moscow drone strikes + $2.68B air-defense sale: defense bid, oil risk cools

$ITA $2.68B air-defense sale advance $BNO risk premium fades, Saudi exports recover $QQQ White House floats AI Force $SPY growth tone, US-China channel…

Sep 21 • PickAlpha

Morning Report | Red Sea oil risk premium lifts inflation fears, U.S. 30Y 5.37%

$TLT 30Y 5.37%, duration dump $XLF oil risk premium elevated $ORCL capex-heavy cloud surge focus $MSFT IP-misuse headlines rattle AI $TLT fiscal check…

Sep 11 • PickAlpha

Evening Memo | Rates, PPI and earnings set the tone; watch earnings follow-through

• After hours: Adobe and Oracle posted beats, driving post-close reactions. • Tomorrow’s trade ideas: earnings follow-through on Adobe and Oracle…

Sep 11 • PickAlpha

Morning Report | Hormuz transit curbs bid crude risk premium, reopening inflation-and-yields trade

$USO tanker strike risk premium $USO Singapore VLSFO tightness resurfaces $NVDA inference hardware deployment proof $CRM enterprise AI monetization…

Sep 7 • PickAlpha

Labor Day-shortened week: AI bid meets payrolls-led yield backu

AI-led tech held up, but a firmer jobs print pushed yields higher—next week CPI/PPI, long-end auctions, and Adobe earnings can reset the rate-cut story.

Sep 5 • PickAlpha

Morning Report | Hormuz mine incidents keep WTI >$90, duration selloff tightens conditions

$XLE crude risk premium elevated $TLT 10Y ~4.81% pressure $MBB mortgage rates jump, spreads wider $DELL guidance reset dents AI-infra $FXC BoC decision…

Sep 2 • PickAlpha

August 2026

Morning Report | Hormuz strike shock widens crude risk premium, yen back above 160

$FXI August PMI stabilizing signal $FXY Back above 160 handle $FXI Fiscal-support expectations bid; Intervention credibility questioned; Services…

Aug 31 • PickAlpha

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