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The story didn’t change this week. The crowd did
Introducing the PickAlpha Monitor: 20 public signals, two axes, one question about every AI-chip selloff.
Oct 7
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PickAlpha
3
1
September 2026
Morning Report | 10Y near 5.14% on hot PMIs, hawkish Fed talk - duration rout, equities tested
$TLT dumps, 10Y 5.14% test $QQQ slips, AI governance headlines $MSFT in focus, OpenAI access incident $SPY steadies, China truce to Jan. 10 $TLT hit…
Sep 24
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PickAlpha
Morning Report | Trump–Xi summit nears, AI-chip controls keep megacap tech hypersensitive
$NVDA AI-chip controls risk bid $TAN Section 232 enforcement jitters $VLO Diesel export-ban chatter hits $CNC CMS enrollment purge uncertainty $NVDA…
Sep 23
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PickAlpha
1
1
Morning Report | Texas data-center permit squeeze, AMD $1T pop redraws AI winners
$AMD $1T tag, new chips $DLR Texas permitting squeeze, data-center bids $JETS Jet fuel spike, FAA feed outages $TLT Yields slip, Fed speakers watched…
Sep 22
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PickAlpha
1
1
Morning Report | Moscow drone strikes + $2.68B air-defense sale: defense bid, oil risk cools
$ITA $2.68B air-defense sale advance $BNO risk premium fades, Saudi exports recover $QQQ White House floats AI Force $SPY growth tone, US-China channel…
Sep 21
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PickAlpha
1
1
Morning Report | Red Sea oil risk premium lifts inflation fears, U.S. 30Y 5.37%
$TLT 30Y 5.37%, duration dump $XLF oil risk premium elevated $ORCL capex-heavy cloud surge focus $MSFT IP-misuse headlines rattle AI $TLT fiscal check…
Sep 11
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PickAlpha
2
Evening Memo | Rates, PPI and earnings set the tone; watch earnings follow-through
• After hours: Adobe and Oracle posted beats, driving post-close reactions. • Tomorrow’s trade ideas: earnings follow-through on Adobe and Oracle…
Sep 11
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PickAlpha
1
1
Morning Report | Hormuz transit curbs bid crude risk premium, reopening inflation-and-yields trade
$USO tanker strike risk premium $USO Singapore VLSFO tightness resurfaces $NVDA inference hardware deployment proof $CRM enterprise AI monetization…
Sep 7
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PickAlpha
3
Labor Day-shortened week: AI bid meets payrolls-led yield backu
AI-led tech held up, but a firmer jobs print pushed yields higher—next week CPI/PPI, long-end auctions, and Adobe earnings can reset the rate-cut story.
Sep 5
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PickAlpha
1
Morning Report | Hormuz mine incidents keep WTI >$90, duration selloff tightens conditions
$XLE crude risk premium elevated $TLT 10Y ~4.81% pressure $MBB mortgage rates jump, spreads wider $DELL guidance reset dents AI-infra $FXC BoC decision…
Sep 2
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PickAlpha
4
1
August 2026
Morning Report | Hormuz strike shock widens crude risk premium, yen back above 160
$FXI August PMI stabilizing signal $FXY Back above 160 handle $FXI Fiscal-support expectations bid; Intervention credibility questioned; Services…
Aug 31
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PickAlpha
4
Jackson Hole’s hawkish stance marks the beginning of an AI-driven rally (August 24-28, 2026)
Nvidia kept Big Tech bid, but Warsh’s Jackson Hole hawkishness pushed yields and the dollar higher - next up: ISM/JOLTS/ADP, payrolls, and a key…
Aug 29
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PickAlpha
2
1
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